Neighborhood Excellence 400 (Dover)

[guforum]

YTD Results

Qualifying Matchups: 5-4 +2.55 Units
Poll Winners: 2-2 +22.8 Units
Race Matchups: 65-37 +22.34 Units
Race Winners: 6-36 +51.0 Units
Over/Unders: 37-16 +17.25 Units
Top 5: 5-9 +9.00 Units

Total: +124.94 Units (unweighted)


This weeks early picks

Biffle +815 (good to +650)
Kenseth +1250 (good to +1000)
Harvick +1900 (good to +1200, the best you can probably find right now is 15-1, I found a rouge number on this, i think +!500 is a great bet and can still be found at a few shops)

 

[Heartman]

Kyle Busch in the truck race

Kenseth in the Busch race

The 2,16,48,6 and 5 in the cup race

 

[ferrarif-1fan]

Busch got a tough break in the truck race He was dominating everyone including Martin till that hoodpin came loose.

 

[BASEHEAD]

Busch:

Biffle +600
Kahne +700
Sorenson Over Yeley (E)
1 U

Sorenson +3000
.50 U

GL.

 

[guforum]

Adding Race Winners

Martin +975 (good to +800)
Kahne +1850 (good to +1500)
Burton +2500 (good to +2000)

 

[sharky99]

Neighborhood Excellence 400: Race Matchups

Sun 6/4Jimmie Johnson vs Mark Martin11:10 AM251 Jimmie Johnson+179 252 Mark Martin-189Sun 6/4Jeremy Mayfield vs Greg Biffle11:10 AM253 Jeremy Mayfield+305 254 Greg Biffle-335Sun 6/4Ryan Newman vs Jeff Gordon11:10 AM255 Ryan Newman+128 256 Jeff Gordon-138Sun 6/4Kasey Kahne vs Kevin Harvick11:10 AM257 Kasey Kahne+136 258 Kevin Harvick-146Sun 6/4Dale Earnhardt Jr vs Elliott Sadler11:10 AM259 Dale Earnhardt Jr-159 260 Elliott Sadler+149Sun 6/4Dale Jarrett vs Martin Truex Jr11:10 AM261 Dale Jarrett+112 262 Martin Truex Jr-122Sun 6/4Denny Hamlin vs Carl Edwards11:10 AM263 Denny Hamlin-101 264 Carl Edwards-109Sun 6/4Jeff Burton vs Kurt Busch11:10 AM265 Jeff Burton-125 266 Kurt Busch+115Sun 6/4Matt Kenseth vs Mark Martin11:10 AM267 Matt Kenseth+128 268 Mark Martin-138Sun 6/4Jamie McMurray vs Kyle Busch11:10 AM269 Jamie McMurray-154 270 Kyle Busch+144

Match ups for tomorrow, Any opinions?

 

[sharky99]

Neighborhood Excellence 400: Race Matchups

Sun 6/4Jimmie Johnson vs Mark Martin

11:10 AM251 Jimmie Johnson+179 252 Mark Martin-189


Sun 6/4Jeremy Mayfield vs Greg Biffle

11:10 AM253 Jeremy Mayfield+305 254 Greg Biffle-335


Sun 6/4Ryan Newman vs Jeff Gordon

11:10 AM255 Ryan Newman+128 256 Jeff Gordon-138


Sun 6/4Kasey Kahne vs Kevin Harvick

11:10 AM257 Kasey Kahne+136 258 Kevin Harvick-146


Sun 6/4Dale Earnhardt Jr vs Elliott Sadler

11:10 AM259 Dale Earnhardt Jr-159 260 Elliott Sadler+149


Sun 6/4Dale Jarrett vs Martin Truex Jr

11:10 AM261 Dale Jarrett+112 262 Martin Truex Jr-122


Sun 6/4Denny Hamlin vs Carl Edwards

11:10 AM263 Denny Hamlin-101 264 Carl Edwards-109


Sun 6/4Jeff Burton vs Kurt Busch

11:10 AM265 Jeff Burton-125 266 Kurt Busch+115


Sun 6/4Matt Kenseth vs Mark Martin

11:10 AM267 Matt Kenseth+128 268 Mark Martin-138


Sun 6/4Jamie McMurray vs Kyle Busch

11:10 AM269 Jamie McMurray-154 270 Kyle Busch+144


Never had so much trouble printing match ups, GL tomorrow

 

[nascarphenom]

Odds to Win

KURT BUSCH 11-1 2 UNITS
All he could talk about last week was how forward he was looking to Dover. Rusty Wallace always raced well here and Kurt is one of the best short track racers in the cup series. Love him at 11-1


KEVIN HARVICK 15-1 1 UNIT
Harvick is bringing a car that he won with this year and the car he dominated Richmond with finishing 3rd. Love him on a Top 3 at 5-1, but 15-1 is good value for a win


GREG BIFFLE 8-1 2 UNITS
I am taking Biffle the next 3 weeks. He has the best car it seems each week....im taking my chances with him. He is starting 20th today, which kind of scares me, but he can overcome that

KYLE BUSCH 28-1 1 UNIT
Said that he LOVES his car today. I dont know what he was doing in practices this week b/c he was 20th or worse in each one.....but Kyle is turning into a great short track driver. Like the value at 28-1


Top 3 Finish Odds

Harvick 5-1 2 units

Kyle Busch 6-1 1 unit



Matchup- 1 unit

Kurt Busch -101 over J Burton (Pinnaclesports)




DRIVERS THAT CAN RUIN THE DAY:
J GORDON (I wont take him until he proves he can starting winning again)
MARTIN (He will lead a bunch of laps today, but his car struggles at the end)

 

[sharky99]

GL today, I took Hamlin over Edwards +105 at pinny in a matchup.

 

[BASEHEAD]

Nextel Cup:

Biffle 7-1 to win
Sadler Over Vickers -135
J Gordon Over Burton E
Newman Under 12.5 (-125)
1 Unit ea

GLTA

 

[WilmasPimp]

Will Stewart tickets be cashed with Rudd as the driver? Oprah Winfrey could be driving the #20 and I'd still like it at 9/1 to show. According to my books rules, winners will be determined by NASCAR.com. My concern is that Rudd was listed as the driver at NASCAR.com after qualifying and I'm worried he will be listed as the official winner. Anyone have clarification?

I also like Johnson at 4/1 to show despite the bad pit stall. Lots of late $$ is coming in on Kahne, down to +950 @ Olympic. I may jump on him at 14/1.

 

[guforum]

Totals

Labonte u24.5
Vickers o13.5
Biffle u7.5
Burton u10.5
Kahne u12.5
Kenseth u8.5


Kenseth -120 Johnson (-190)
Mears -110 Mayfield (-140)
Earnhardt 175 Gordon (125)
Burton 100 Hamlin (-140)
Burton 125 Ku Busch (-110)
Martin -125 Gordon (-170)
Biffle 100 Martin (-115)
Ky Busch -130 Riggs (-200)
Kenseth -115 Harvick (-150)
Biffle -245 Mayfield (-350)
Earnhardt -130 Sadler (-165)
Sadler 125 Mcmurray (-110)
Ku Busch -160 Vickers (-180)
Sadler -105 Vickers (-150)

 

[guforum]

Results

Race Winners

1-5 +7.50 Units

Matchups

11-2 +9.85 Units

Over/Unders

5-1 +3.9 Units

Total

17-8 +21.25 Units